U.S. Midterms: House battlegrounds

Only 53 of the 435 House races are considered competitive and could decide whether Democrats reclaim the House of Representatives from Republicans in the midterm elections, analysts say

2026 HOUSE FORECAST
218 seats to win

53
178
204
Solid or likely Democrat
Solid or likely Republican

18
lean Democrat
toss ups
17
lean Republican
18

competitive
(as of Nov 2)

CHANCES OF CONTROLLING HOUSE AFTER MIDTERMS*

Democrats’ chances of winning control have been consistently high on Kalshi prediction market

Democrats: 93.6%
Republicans: 6.4%

100%
75%
50%
25%
0%

Nov 2024
May 2025
Nov 2025
May 2026
Nov 2026

*As of Nov 2

Sources: Reuters, FT, Cook Political Report, Kalshi prediction market
© GRAPHIC NEWS