Premier League 2026-27 title hopefuls

Arsenal are considered the favourites to retain
their crown, with a 38% chance of mounting
first successful title defence since 1935

WINNING FEELING
Predictions based on
10,000 simulations by Opta’s
Supercomputer, estimating
probability of each match outcome
– win, draw or loss – by using
betting market odds and
Opta Power Rankings

% chance		Top 5	Top 4	Title
Arsenal		83.0	77.1	38.0
Man City		69.4	61.5	20.5
Liverpool	48.6	39.6	9.2
Man Utd		40.0	32.1	6.2
Aston Villa	32.8	26.5	4.8
Chelsea		30.3	23.4	4.1
Tottenham	24.1	18.0	2.9

All three promoted teams are favourites for relegation, with
Hull City (38.7%), Ipswich Town (31.2%) and Coventry City (27.9%)
facing toughest campaigns, ahead of Sunderland (25.9%)

Top 5 finish has guaranteed Champions League berth for past two seasons

In 2025-26, Supercomputer predicted Liverpool (28.5%)
as title favourites, with Arsenal marginally behind on 24.3%

Source: OPTA
Picture: Getty Images
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