OPEC: From oil shocks to UAE’s exit The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries faces its toughest challenge since its founding, with the loss of a key member – the United Arab Emirates – amid the largest global oil supply crisis, triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran 1960: OPEC established by five founding members: Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela* Price per barrel: $3 1973: First oil shock – Arab oil producers place embargo on countries led by U.S. over their support for Israel during Yom Kippur War. Prices quadruple, triggering recession and inflation Price: $12 1979: Islamic Revolution in Iran sharply reduces output, triggering panic buying Price: $25 1980: Iran-Iraq War begins, further disrupting supplies. Second oil shock sparks global recession Price: $40 1986: Oil prices collapse – record highs spur surge in non-OPEC production. OPEC abandons fixed pricing and cuts prices to regain market share Price: $8.75 1990: Iraq invades Kuwait, causing nine-month oil price shock and contributing to early 1990s global recession Price: $41.90 1997-98: Asian financial crisis reduces oil demand, pressuring prices Price: $9.91 2001: Oil prices fall after 9/11 attacks in the U.S. Price: $19.07 2003-06: Iraq War and ongoing tensions with Iran contribute to rising oil prices, peaking around 2006 Price: $74.75 2008: Oil exceeds $100/ barrel before collapsing amid global financial crisis Price: $127.85 2014-16: U.S. shale boom floods market, driving prices down 70% Price: $34.74 2016: OPEC+ formed – cartel coordinates with non-OPEC producers, including Russia, to stabilise and raise oil prices Price: $82.72 (2017) 2020: COVID-19 pandemic collapses demand; OPEC+ enacts historic production cuts Price: $14.85 2022: Russia invades Ukraine – oil prices spike following sanctions on Moscow and strong post-pandemic demand Price: $125.53 May 1, 2026: UAE quits OPEC in blow to oil cartel, as oil prices jump to highest since 2022 Price: $126.3 (Apr 30) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 2026 2022 2018 2014 2010 2006 2002 1998 1994 1990 1986 1982 1978 1974 1970 1966 1962 $0 $30 $60 $90 $120 $150 *These countries are later joined by Qatar (1961), Indonesia (1962-2009, Jan-Nov 2016), Libya (1962), United Arab Emirates (1967-2026), Algeria (1969), Nigeria (1971), Ecuador (1973-92, 2007-20), Gabon (1975-1995, 2016-present), Angola (2007-24), Equatorial Guinea (2017) and Republic of the Congo (2018) Sources: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, TRTWorld, Macrotrends Pictures: Getty Images, CDC © GRAPHIC NEWS