UEFA Champions League 2025-26
ROUND OF 16, 2ND LEG
WDL Head-to-head
Opta tournament predictions

MAR 17
Sporting CP POR		0-0-1	13%	4%	1%	0.1%
Bodø/Glimt NOR			87%	19%	6%	2%
1st leg result: 0-3.
2nd leg venue: Estádio José Alvalade

Chelsea ENG		2-3-4	7%	4%	2%	1%
PSG FRA				93%	56%	23%	10%
2-5, Stamford Bridge

Man City ENG		5-5-6	16%	7%	4%	2%
Real Madrid ESP			84%	32%	17%	8%
0-3, Etihad Stadium

Arsenal ENG		1-2-0	77%	65%	46%	28%
Leverkusen GER			23%	12%	5%	2%
1-1, Emirates Stadium

MAR 18

Barcelona ESP		4-1-1	68%	44%	22%	11%
Newcastle ENG			32%	16%	6%	2%
1-1, Camp Nou

Liverpool ENG		1-2-3	51%	26%	10%	5%
Galatasaray TUR			49%	14%	3%	1%
0-1, Anfield

Bayern GER		1-0-0	99.9%	61%	41%	22%
Atalanta ITA			0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
6-1, Allianz Arena

Tottenham ENG		1-0-1	3%	1%	0.1%	0.1%
Atlético ESP			97%	39%	14%	6%
2-5, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

FUTURE DATES
Quarter-finals	Apr 7 / 8, 14 / 15
Semi-finals	Apr 28 / 29, May 5 / 6
Final		May 30, Puskás Aréna, Budapest

TOUGH TASK: Premier League’s contingent face
battle for survival after first leg capitulation – including
heavy defeats for Tottenham, Man City and
Chelsea – registered no victories, 16 goals
conceded and only 65 shots attempted

Iconic comebacks:
From total of 51 instances, only four teams
have overturned three or four-goal first leg deficits

2004	Q-final: Deportivo v AC Milan	1-4	4-0
2017	Last 16:	Barcelona v PSG		0-4	6-1
2018	Q-final: Roma v Barcelona		1-4	3-0
2019	S-final: Liverpool v Barcelona	0-3	4-0

Arsenal and Bayern favourites
for title according to predictions
based on 10,000 simulations
by Opta’s Supercomputer

GOAL THREAT: Forward line of Bayern
continue ominous attacking form, with dominant
win over Atalanta highlighting title ambitions

Top 5 leagues: Goal contributions since 2024-25*
Harry Kane	Bayern		103
Kylian Mbappé	Real Madrid	92
Michael Olise	Bayern		77
Erling Haaland	Man City		75
Raphinha		Barcelona	75

PERFORMANCE TIMELINE: Comparing favourites
Group stage
Last 16
QF
SF
Final
Winner

92-93
95-96
99-2000
03-04
07-08
11-12
15-16
19-20
23-24

Bayern Munich GER	Best finish (inc. European Cup): 6-time winner
Arsenal ENG		Final 2006
Source: UEFA
Pictures: Getty Images
*Data as of Mar 13
© GRAPHIC NEWS
Pep Guardiola
must inspire
arguably
greatest
comeback
of City
reign
Michael
Olise
impressed
without
injured
Harry Kane