Harris leads Black swing state vote

Vice President Kamala Harris bests former President Donald
Trump by 76 percentage points in a new poll of likely
African American voters in battleground states

AFRICAN AMERICAN
SWING STATE SURVEY
If presidential election were held
today, who would you vote for?
HARRIS: 84
TRUMP: 8
OTHER CANDIDATE: 2
UNDECIDED: 6

Swing states: Arizona, Georgia,
Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina,
Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

WHO’S AHEAD IN U.S.
ELECTION POLLS?

Average score for each candidate
from all 2024 presidential polls*

Biden
Harris
Trump

MAR 1
39.7%

JUL 21
40.2%

MAR 1
41.7%

JUL 21
43.5%

JUL 24
44.0%

JUL 24
44.9%

OCT 17
48.5%

OCT 17
46.1%

48
49
47
46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
38

Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

Biden incoherent debate appearance

Biden withdraws

Harris nominated

African American poll: Howard University’s Initiative on Public Opinion (Oct 2-8, 2024, 981 respondents)

National poll average: FiveThirtyEight (ABC News)

*All ethnicities. Accounts for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects

Sources: Guardian, Howard University, FiveThirtyEight Picture: Getty Images

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