France’s far-right could win snap election

National Rally is forecast to win early elections but fall short of an absolute majority, according to an opinion poll published after Macron’s shock decision to dissolve parliament


Ensemble!
Centre-right coalition of President Emmanuel Macron
125-155
Current: 249 

National Rally
Anti-immigration, eurosceptic party of Marine Le Pen
235-265
Current: 89


PROJECTION OF SEATS

Nupes*
Far left alliance led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon
115-145
153

Les Républicains and UDI†. Right wing
40-55
74

Other parties
0-22
12

577
Seats in National Assembly

289 seats needed to win


*Nouvelle Union Populaire Écologique et Sociale (New Ecological and Social Popular Union)

†Union of Democrats and Independents – Centre-right

Toluna Harris Interactive survey of 2,744 people between Jun 9-10. Margin of error ± 1.4-2.5 points

Parliament election: Jun 30, Jul 7


Sources: Reuters, Interior Ministry, Toluna Harris 
Pictures: Getty Images
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