El Niño threat to rice supplies Global stockpiles of rice, which are at close to record levels, are set to fall 5% as the El Niño weather pattern brings hotter and drier weather to Asia ASIA COOLER El Niño HOTTER PACIFIC OCEAN AMERICAS Cooler sea surface temperature causes drier conditions GLOBAL RICE STOCKPILE (millions of tonnes) 2024 FORECAST 170 2023 FORECAST 173 2022 182 2021 RECORD HIGH 187 2020 182 2019 177 2018 164 2017 151 2016 143 2015 136 2014 129 2013 124 2012 113 2011 103 2010 98 2009 95 RICE PRICE (per tonne) $700 600 500 400 300 2010 2015 2020 Prices rise during El Niño events Weak El Niño Sources: Bloomberg, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture Picture: Debbie Molle (Unsplash) © GRAPHIC NEWS