Russia’s military build-up near Ukraine
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Ukrainian and Western officials are concerned that a Russian military build-up along Ukraine’s border could signal plans by Moscow to invade its ex-Soviet neighbour
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Location of Russian battalion tactical groups (BTGs) As of Dec 3, 2021

Minsk
BELARUS
Gomel
1 Bryansk 
2 CRIMEA
3 Valuyki
Rostov
Kursk
Kharkiv
RUSSIA
Voronezh
Kiev 
UKRAINE 
MOLDOVA 
ROMANIA
Odessa 
Zaporizhia
Luhansk 
Donetsk
POLAND
Kherson
Black Sea
Mariupol

Transnistria: Separatist region in Moldova
Donbas: Held by pro-Russian separatists

200km 125 miles
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RUSSIA’S MILITARY POTENTIAL (according to U.S. intelligence assessment)

Current strength: Approximately 50 combat-ready BTGs positioned close to Ukraine’s border – estimated 70,000 troops in total

By Jan 2022: Russia planning to deploy up to 175,000 personnel (100 BTGs) in preparation for possible invasion

Recently deployed forces: 

1 Nov 9, Yelnya: Five BTGs.
Typical BTG has 800-900 troops

2 Nov 16, Novoozerne: Arrival of tanks and artillery in Crimea – territory annexed by Russia in 2014

3 Nov 26, Boyevo: Two BTGs 
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Sources: AP, Jamestown Foundation, Washington Post © GRAPHIC NEWS