Germany’s chancellors-in-waiting 
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Opinion polls suggest that with three potential chancellors standing
to replace Angela Merkel, Germany’s September election could result in a fragmented parliament
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CDU: Armin Laschet – represents status quo, but many Germans want change

SPD: Olaf Scholz – moderate career politician with solid approval ratings

Greens: Annalena Baerbock – Greens’ first ever candidate for chancellor
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CDU/CSU 
SPD
Greens
FDP 
Left 
AfD

German parliamentary election results (% share of vote) 

1980 44.5 42.9 1.5 10.6
1983 48.8 38.2 5.6 6.9
1987 44.2 37.0 8.3 9.1
1990 43.8 33.5 5.0 11.0 2.4
1994 41.5 36.4 7.3 6.9 4.4
1998 35.2 40.9 6.7 6.2 5.1
2002 38.5 38.5 8.6 7.4 4.0
2005 35.2 34.2 8.1 9.8 8.7
2009 33.8 23.0 10.7 14.6 11.9
2013 41.5 25.7 8.4 4.8 8.6 4.7
2017 33.0 20.5 8.9 10.7 9.2 12.6
2021 29.0 16.0 18.0 12.0 7.0 10.0

2021 figures based on polling averages as of July 16

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Sources: Bundeswahlleiter, Politico, Stratfor Pictures: Getty Images © GRAPHIC NEWS