India polls suggest hung parliament

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will fall short of a majority in parliament after the April-May general election, according to a Mood of the Nation survey


Narendra Modi	46%
Popularity has dipped from 65% peak in January 2017

Rahul Gandhi	34%
Congress president’s popularity up from 10% in January 2017

Priyanka Gandhi Vadra
Ghandhi’s charismatic sister will run campaign in eastern Uttar Pradesh


Seats in 543-seat Lok Sabha (lower house of parliament)

	Bharatiya Janata Party / NDA	Congress-led United Progressive Alliance	Others*

Election 	336			60						147
2014

Projected seats 	272 needed for majority
Jan 2017	360			60						123
Aug 2017	349			75						119
Jan 2018	309			102						132
Aug 2018	281			122						140
Jan 2019	237			166						140


*15 opposition parties including Samajwadi Party (SP), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), All-India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) and Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav Alliance – which draws support from India’s lower castes


Source: India Today Group-Karvy Insights Mood of the Nation survey of 13,179 respondents, conducted Dec 28, 2018-Jan 8, 2019, 69% rural and 31% urban across 19 of 29 states.

Margin of error: 3%-5% 

Pictures: Associated Press
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