Oil sanctions could cost Iran $25bn a year The Trump administration has granted a 180-day waiver to Iran’s eight biggest oil buyers, allowing them to keep buying oil at reduced rates Iran’s crude and condensate exports (million barrels per day) May: President Trump withdraws from Iran nuclear deal – sanctions to be re-imposed Jul: South Korea ends imports Sep-Oct: Iranian tankers go “dark.” Transponders switched off to avoid tracking systems and conceal where Iranian oil headed Nov: Trump re-imposes sanctions, sets limit on imports 0 1 2 3 Jan 2.11 Feb 2.51 Mar 2.54 Apr 2.83 May 2.73 Jun 2.58 Jul 2.39 Aug 1.98 Sep 1.72 Oct 1.60 Nov 1.50 Sanctions cut exports by 47% from April peak Exports peak at 2.83 mb/d China 0.73 India 0.66 South Korea 0.27 Europe 0.54 Japan 0.16 Rest of world 0.47 180-day waiver limits imports to 1.5 mb/d China 0.36 India 0.30 South Korea 0.13 Japan, Italy, Greece, Taiwan, Turkey 0.71 Sources: Bloomberg Tanker Tracking, Reuters, The National © GRAPHIC NEWS