U.S. presidential election forecast

Donald Trump is making gains and has narrowed Hillary Clinton’s popular vote lead, according to FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 election forecast, which projects how the 538 Electoral College votes could break down

CHANCE OF WINNING Hillary Clinton 75.2% Donald Trump 24.8%

Electoral votes (270 needed to win) 311.8 225.0

Forecast as at Nov 1, 2016

Popular vote 49.2% 44.5%

WA OR CA AK ID UT AZ MT WY CO NM HI ND SD NE KS OK TX MN IA MO AR LA WI IL TN MS AL OH KY TN GA FL ME NH MA RI CT PA DE MD VA DC NC SC 

Data for Libertarian party candidate Gary Johnson not included

50% 90%

Clinton Trump

HOW ODDS HAVE CHANGED

ELECTION, NOV 8

JUN 8  JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV

Clinton 75.2% Trump 24.8%

Source: FiveThirtyEight

Pictures: Associated Press