U.S. presidential election forecast

Donald Trump’s hopes of reaching the White House are crumbling, according to FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 election forecast, which projects how the 538 Electoral College votes could break down in the presidential race

CHANCE OF WINNING

Hillary Clinton 86.9%

Donald Trump 13.1%

Electoral votes 360.5 176.9

Popular vote 48.9% 41.1%

WA OR CA NV AK

ID UT AZ 

MT WY CO NM HI

ND SD NE KS OK TX

MN IA MO AR LA

WI IL TN MS AL 

MI IN KY GA FL

OH WV NC SC ME NH MA VT RI NY CT PA NJ DE MD WA NC DC NC SC

50% 90%

Data for Libertarian party candidate Gary Johnson not included

Clinton

Trump

HOW ODDS HAVE CHANGED

0 25 50 75

JUNE 8 JULY AUGUST AUG 16 SEP

Clinton 86.9%

Trump 13.1%

Source:FiveThirtyEight

Pictures: Associated Press