Road to curb temperature rises The goal of the 2015 Paris Climate Conference, COP21, is to achieve a legally binding, international agreement to keep average global temperatures no more than 2°C above pre-industrial temperatures* ---------------------------------------------------------------- Global mean temperatures above pre-industrial levels 1850-1900 Average temperature 13.7°C 1.0°C Temperature rise expected to surpass 1°C in 2015 2.0°C 2010: 193 nations sign Cancun Agreements committing governments to “hold increase in global average temperature below 2°C above pre-industrial levels” 2.7°C Forecast warming† by 2100 even if all COP21 pledges are implemented 3-5°C Warming on existing emissions-reduction policies. Low-lying island states at risk from rising sea levels 4-5°C Forecast rise by 2060 if current emissions levels continue *Accurate assessment of temperatures in 1750s – when industrial revolution began – is difficult. To overcome problem, climatologists use average temperatures recorded between 1850 and 1900. †United Nations Synthesis report on aggregate effect of Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Sources: UK Met. Office Hadley Centre, Climate Action Tracker, WMO words 163