850,000 to reach Europe by 2016 The number of people expected to cross the Mediterranean seeking refuge in Europe is likely to reach 400,000 this year and 450,000 in 2016, according to the UN Refugee Agency ------------------------------------------------------------- SEA ARRIVALS INTO EUROPE 2010-16* Predicted Dead/missing 2010 9,700 2011 70,000 2012 22,500 2013 60,000 2014 219,000 3,500 2015 400,000 366,000 2,750 UN prediction for this year close to being fulfilled, with 366,000 having already made voyage 2016 450,000 ------------------------------------------------------------- SEA ARRIVALS IN 2015† Schengen visa-free zone SPAIN 2,160 Western Mediterranean route FRANCE GERMANY Western Balkan route GREECE 256,400 Eastern Mediterranean route Mediterranean Sea MALTA 100 Central Mediterranean route ITALY 119,600 ------------------------------------------------------------- *UNHCR, (As of Sep 8) †International Organization for Migration (As of Sep 7) words 119